If the bleakest scenarios for further increases in greenhouse gas levels were to come true, by 2100.
the global economy could shrink by up to 24 percent.
– warn researchers at the University of Cambridge.
Disaster in the fight against rising temperatures will leave its mark on all regions of the world, but the Middle East and Africa have the most to lose.
On the other hand, this is where successful adaptation to climate change can result in the highest per capita GDP growth.
The Middle East and Africa have the most to gain Looking at the reality from the more optimistic side, rapid and effective adaptation to climate change can bring very tangible economic benefits in some regions of the world.
In the positive scenario of a fundamental reduction in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gas emissions (RCP 2.6), while taking adaptation measures, countries in the Middle East and Africa can expect economic growth as early as 2050.
(at an average level of about 0.3 percent).
A detailed macroeconomic analysis of the situation of individual countries at the beginning of the 22nd century.
also offers hope.
In an optimistic climate scenario in 2103.
Afghanistan, El Salvador, Guatemala, Libya and Tunisia can expect per capita GDP growth of more than 1 percent.
In Yemen, Uganda, Trinidad and Tobago, Togo, Sudan, Qatar, Namibia or Somalia, GDP growth would likely exceed 0.6 percent.
In Europe, a greener future will benefit economically mainly Spain, Slovenia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Italy and Croatia.
It is worth noting that for the larger economies, a difference of even several tenths of GDP translates into profits in the billions of dollars.